Tag: politics

  • America’s Quiet War on Renters

    In the United States, homeownership is rarely presented as one housing option among several. It is treated as a milestone, a financial necessity, and evidence that someone has successfully entered adulthood.

    Politicians promise to increase the homeownership rate. Financial advice often treats renting as a temporary condition to escape. Rent payments are described as “throwing money away,” while mortgage payments are described as “building wealth.” Even people who are perfectly satisfied renting are regularly asked when they plan to buy.

    Behind all of this is an assumption that is rarely questioned: more homeownership is always better.

    But homeownership is not inherently better than renting. Both have advantages and disadvantages. More importantly, policies designed to maximize homeownership can harm renters, future homebuyers, and ultimately the housing market itself.

    The glorification of homeownership as a path to wealth may even be one of the forces sustaining America’s NIMBY problem.

    Renting and owning are different products

    Owning a home can be a good choice. It gives people greater control over their living space, protection from a landlord deciding not to renew a lease, and a way to establish long-term roots in a community. A fixed-rate mortgage can also provide some predictability, and paying down the principal creates a form of forced saving.

    Renting offers a different set of benefits. Renters can move more easily when their work, relationships, or preferences change. They do not have to assume the risk of a major structural repair, spend weekends maintaining a property, or pay the substantial transaction costs associated with buying and selling. Renting may also allow someone to live in a neighborhood where purchasing a comparable home would be prohibitively expensive.

    Neither option is universally superior. They solve different problems and expose households to different risks.

    Someone who wants control, permanence, and the ability to modify a property may reasonably prefer ownership. Someone who values mobility, convenience, and financial diversification may reasonably prefer renting. These are personal tradeoffs, not stages in a hierarchy in which the renter is always waiting to graduate into ownership.

    Renting is not necessarily a financial mistake

    The financial case for homeownership is also less straightforward than popular advice suggests.

    Comparisons between renting and buying frequently compare rent with a mortgage payment. But these are not equivalent numbers. Part of a mortgage payment goes toward principal and therefore increases the owner’s equity. Other ownership expenses, however, produce no equity at all.

    Mortgage interest, property taxes, insurance, maintenance, repairs, closing costs, selling costs, and the opportunity cost of the down payment are all real expenses. A homeowner who places $100,000 into a down payment also gives up whatever return that money could have earned in a diversified portfolio.

    In his analysis of the decision to rent or buy, Ben Felix argues that the useful comparison is between rent and the unrecoverable costs of ownership, rather than between rent and the entire mortgage payment. His simplified “5% rule” accounts for property taxes, maintenance, and the opportunity cost of capital. The precise calculation depends on current interest rates, expected investment returns, taxes, maintenance expenses, and local housing prices, but the broader principle remains useful: mortgage payments are not the only cost of owning a home. (Ben Felix, “Rent or Own Your Home? A Handy 5% Rule”)

    Ownership also creates concentration risk. A homeowner may have most of their net worth invested in one leveraged property, in one neighborhood, and in one metropolitan economy. A renter who invests the difference between renting and owning can instead hold a diversified portfolio containing thousands of companies across many countries.

    Housing prices can rise dramatically, but appreciation is not guaranteed for every home, city, or period. Owners who need to move during a downturn may discover that their supposed source of stability has reduced their mobility. Transaction costs make short ownership periods particularly risky because the property must appreciate enough to overcome the expenses involved in buying and selling.

    The decision also depends on behavior. Homeownership can function as forced saving because homeowners must make their mortgage payments each month. A renter only achieves the projected financial benefits of renting if they actually invest some of the money they save. The financial comparison therefore depends not only on market returns, but also on the habits of the people involved.

    The Rational Reminder podcast’s detailed discussion of renting and buying reaches a similarly nuanced conclusion: the financially preferable option depends on prices, rents, expected returns, borrowing costs, taxes, maintenance, the length of ownership, and the household’s ability to save consistently. (Rational Reminder, Episode 154, “Renting vs. Buying a Home: How to Decide”)

    None of this means renting is always financially better. Many homeowners have accumulated substantial wealth through appreciation, mortgage leverage, forced saving, and favorable tax treatment. Ownership can produce an excellent financial outcome.

    The point is that the outcome depends on the purchase price, rent for a comparable property, mortgage rate, maintenance costs, taxes, investment returns, holding period, and future home-price appreciation. It cannot be reduced to “renting wastes money” and “buying builds wealth.”

    Government should not confuse homeownership with housing success

    Despite these tradeoffs, American housing policy heavily favors ownership.

    The federal government supports homeowners through mortgage guarantees, preferential financing, the mortgage-interest deduction, favorable treatment of capital gains from home sales, and other tax provisions. These policies are often described as promoting housing stability and helping households build wealth.

    The distribution of support, however, is far from neutral. According to the Urban Institute, the federal government provides more than three times as much through tax benefits that assist homeowners and investors, who are disproportionately middle- and high-income, as it spends on housing assistance for low-income renters. (Urban Institute, “How Does the Federal Government Support Housing?”)

    These policies are frequently defended as ways to increase homeownership. But policies that subsidize demand can instead increase the amount buyers are able to bid for a limited supply of homes. When housing construction cannot respond, some of the subsidy may be captured through higher prices rather than improved affordability.

    Research on Denmark’s mortgage-interest deduction illustrates this possibility. Economists Jonathan Gruber, Amalie Jensen, and Henrik Kleven found that changes to the deduction had essentially no effect on whether people became homeowners. Instead, the deduction affected how much housing existing owners purchased and how much debt they carried. The United States is not Denmark, but the finding demonstrates that a subsidy presented as encouraging homeownership can primarily influence the size and financing of purchases made by people who would have owned anyway. (Gruber, Jensen, and Kleven, “Do People Respond to the Mortgage Interest Deduction?”)

    A higher homeownership rate is not, by itself, proof that people are better housed. A household pushed into an unaffordable mortgage is not necessarily better off than one with a secure and reasonably priced lease. A renter should not have to assume a large, leveraged position in local real estate to receive stability, dignity, or a meaningful opportunity to build wealth.

    The goal of housing policy should be to give people access to safe, stable, and affordable homes. It should not be to move as many households as possible into one particular financial arrangement.

    When a home becomes a retirement account, scarcity becomes desirable

    The most damaging consequence of America’s homeownership obsession may be the political incentives it creates.

    For many households, a home is not merely somewhere to live. It is their largest asset, their primary source of wealth, and a central part of their retirement plan. After being told for decades that buying a home is the way to build wealth, owners understandably become highly sensitive to anything that might threaten its value.

    This creates a fundamental conflict.

    Affordable housing requires homes to remain relatively inexpensive. Successful housing investment requires existing homes to become more expensive.

    At the individual level, hoping that your home appreciates is perfectly rational. At the societal level, expecting millions of households to build wealth through ever-rising housing prices is incompatible with keeping housing affordable for the next generation.

    Once homeowners become financially dependent on appreciation, restrictions on new housing can begin to look attractive. A proposed apartment building, duplex, or condominium development is no longer merely a change to the neighborhood. It can be perceived as competition for the owner’s most important asset or as a threat to the exclusivity that helps support its value.

    This does not mean every homeowner opposes construction, that every development objection is financially motivated, or that homeownership is the sole cause of NIMBYism. People may oppose development because of concerns about infrastructure, design, displacement, environmental effects, traffic, schools, or public services. Some of those concerns may be legitimate.

    But the financial structure of homeownership gives existing owners a reason to care about maintaining scarcity. When a household has been encouraged to treat its home as both shelter and an investment, policies that might reduce housing prices can appear personally threatening even when they would benefit the broader community.

    The effects of restrictive housing policy are well documented. A major review of the economic literature by Joseph Gyourko and Raven Molloy concluded that regulation generally appears to raise housing prices, reduce construction, and make housing supply less responsive to demand. (Gyourko and Molloy, “Regulation and Housing Supply”)

    More recent research has estimated the “zoning tax” created when supply restrictions cause land prices to rise beyond what would otherwise be expected. These costs are especially significant in large coastal housing markets, where restrictions can make access to high-opportunity communities substantially more expensive. (Gyourko and Krimmel, “The Impact of Local Residential Land Use Restrictions on Land Values Across and Within Single Family Housing Markets”)

    The benefits of this scarcity flow disproportionately to people who already own property. The costs are imposed on renters, younger households, people moving for work, and prospective buyers who have not yet entered the market.

    Existing residents also possess a structural advantage in local politics. They can attend hearings, organize neighborhood groups, contact elected officials, and object to individual projects. The people who would have lived in housing that is never built are not yet residents and therefore have little or no political representation in the process.

    The result is a system in which current owners can protect the scarcity value of their assets by limiting opportunities for the people who come after them.

    The homeownership feedback loop

    This produces a destructive cycle:

    Homeownership is promoted as the primary route to middle-class wealth.

    Households place much of their savings into a single property.

    Those households become dependent on rising property values.

    They acquire a financial incentive to resist construction or policy changes that might reduce those values.

    Restricted construction makes housing more expensive for renters and prospective buyers.

    Because housing has become more expensive, the people who managed to buy appear increasingly wealthy compared with those who did not.

    Policymakers then conclude that even more people must be helped into homeownership.

    The widening wealth gap between owners and renters is interpreted as evidence that everyone should own. But part of that gap is produced by policies that subsidize owners, constrain supply, and allow existing property owners to capture the benefits of scarcity.

    The system manufactures the advantage and then presents that advantage as proof of the system’s wisdom.

    Policies that help owners can actively harm renters

    It is tempting to treat policies that increase property values as harmless benefits for homeowners. But higher property values are not free money. They represent higher acquisition costs for future buyers and, over time, can contribute to higher rents.

    A homeowner may celebrate when the value of their house rises by $100,000. For the household that hopes to buy that house, the same change is a $100,000 increase in cost.

    Similarly, a neighborhood that blocks new apartments may protect the scarcity and value of existing homes, but it does so by preventing additional households from living there. Renters face fewer choices and more competition for the units that remain. Prospective buyers must bid against one another for an artificially limited supply.

    Even policies intended to help first-time buyers can become counterproductive when they increase purchasing power without increasing construction. If every eligible buyer receives more money to compete for the same limited number of homes, sellers may capture much of the benefit through higher prices.

    This is why maximizing the homeownership rate is not necessarily a renter-neutral policy. Depending on how it is pursued, it can strengthen the political constituency for scarcity, increase housing demand without increasing supply, and direct public resources toward people who are already comparatively advantaged.

    A policy can help an individual household purchase a home while making the broader housing system less affordable.

    A tenure-neutral housing policy

    Rejecting the worship of homeownership does not require opposing homeownership. People who want to own should have that opportunity, and public policy should address genuine barriers such as discrimination, exclusionary zoning, limited access to credit, and insufficient housing construction.

    But policy should be more neutral about whether a household rents or owns.

    That would mean judging housing policy by affordability, security, quality, mobility, and access to opportunity rather than primarily by the homeownership rate.

    It would mean giving renters greater stability through enforceable housing standards, predictable lease rules, appropriate protections against arbitrary displacement, and a sufficient supply of housing that landlords must compete for tenants.

    It could also mean offering renters better opportunities to build wealth outside real estate. Homeowners benefit from tax-advantaged appreciation, leverage, and forced saving. Renters could be supported through broader access to retirement accounts, matched savings programs, renter tax credits, or other policies that do not require purchasing a leveraged and undiversified asset.

    Most importantly, tenure-neutral policy would allow substantially more housing to be built, particularly in desirable neighborhoods with access to employment, public transportation, schools, and other opportunities. Research on zoning reforms suggests that permitting greater density can increase housing availability and reduce prices relative to places where restrictions remain unchanged. (Greenaway-McGrevy and Phillips, “Estimating the Economic Value of Zoning Reform”)

    A tenure-neutral housing policy would also require acknowledging that indefinitely rising home prices are not an unqualified public good.

    A home can be a good investment for its owner. But housing cannot simultaneously become more affordable if every existing home is expected to generate extraordinary investment returns.

    The United States does not need to eliminate homeownership or discourage people from buying homes. It needs to stop treating renters as people who have failed to buy and stop treating housing scarcity as wealth creation.

    A successful housing system is not one in which everyone owns.

    It is one in which everyone has a good place to live.

  • Death by Poor Urban Planning

    Every time we hear about a tragic car crash, the story is usually framed around individual blame. Someone made a mistake, someone wasn’t paying attention, or someone was reckless. But beneath these headlines lies a harder truth. Our urban design itself creates the conditions for these deaths. Poor urban planning is not just an inconvenience or an aesthetic misstep. It is a public health crisis that costs lives every day.

    In too many American cities, Charlotte included, roads are engineered like highways. They are wide, fast, and hostile to anything but cars. Corridors such as Independence Boulevard prioritize vehicle flow over human life, encouraging high speeds and leaving pedestrians and cyclists exposed. In this environment, even a brief lapse of focus, just a few seconds, can turn a mistake into a tragedy.

    Accident on Independence Boulevard, Charlotte NC injuring 6 people

    Just a few hours ago, as I write this post, there was an accident on Independence Boulevard that sent six people to the hospital, one with severe life-threatening injuries. It is tempting to place all of the blame on a driver going too fast. The harder truth is that the driver was simply responding to incentives created by reckless city planning, such as wide lanes, high speed limits, and a lack of safe transit alternatives. If the road had been designed to slow speeds and protect people, it is likely this crash would not have been so devastating or have happened at all.

    And incidents like this are far from rare. The Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department website listed seven similar traffic events in just the past three hours alone.

    To err is human. Every driver will make mistakes behind the wheel, such as misjudging a turn, glancing at a phone, or reacting a second too late. A safe transportation system recognizes this reality and builds in forgiveness. Narrower lanes, slower speeds, and protective infrastructure can ensure that a mistake does not automatically mean death. But our current design does the opposite. It demands flawless driving from every user, every second. That is not just unrealistic. It is negligent.

    There is another layer to the problem. Many people simply should not be behind the wheel of heavy machinery. Teenagers, seniors, those with medical conditions, or people who are poor drivers are still forced to drive because cities have left them with no alternatives. By designing systems where car travel is the only viable option, we compel people into dangerous situations that put their lives and the lives of others at risk.

    The spread-out, car-dependent development pattern of low-density housing, long commutes, and seas of parking creates endless demand for driving at higher speeds. Strong Towns and other urbanist voices have long warned that this model is both financially unsustainable and physically dangerous. More driving leads to more crashes, and higher speeds lead to more fatalities. The math is simple, and it is killing us.

    If we want fewer deaths, we must stop pretending this is about individual failure. Real safety comes from systemic change.

    • Slower streets with narrower lanes, traffic calming, and enforced lower speed limits.
    • Safe alternatives such as protected bike lanes, sidewalks, and reliable public transit.
    • Walkable, mixed-use communities where housing and jobs are close together, reducing the need to drive.
    • Equitable design that prioritizes vulnerable road users and invests in underserved communities.

    We call crashes “accidents” as if they were unavoidable acts of fate. They are not. They are predictable outcomes of policy choices, zoning codes, and street designs. Every fatal crash reflects a system that refuses to put people’s lives above the convenience of cars.

    Poor urban planning kills. With better choices and people-first design, we can build cities where human mistakes no longer cost human lives.